This article originally appeared in Risk.net under the title “Derivatives house of the year Japan: BNP Paribas” This article is also available in Japanese.
Japanese
institutional investors grappling with ultra-low interest rates and low
volatility are moving away from traditional investments and trading to
solutions that optimise risk-weighted assets.
In
such challenging conditions, BNP Paribas has focused on yield-enhancing cross-asset
solutions, such as quantitative investment strategies (QIS) fine-tuned for both
insurers and, now increasingly, asset managers and banks. Clients in Japan call
the French lender a reliable partner that has come up with timely but advanced
QIS that have generally outperformed.
QIS
assets under management are growing at double digits and the bank has been
quick off the blocks with changing customer needs and regulatory tweaks, says
Kyoya Okazawa, the head of institutional clients for Asia Pacific and also the
head of global markets for Japan and Korea.
“The
market has evolved but the twin challenges of low yields and low volatility
have only gone deeper,” says Okazawa. “We don’t believe – and our clients don’t
believe – the Japan government bond yield curve will revive and as such the
importance of QIS is increasing. Our cross-asset solutions, which benefit from
an end-to-end approach, customer engagement, product development to sales have
benefitted us and our customers immensely.”
BNP
Paribas has applied its cross-asset mindset to its traditional distribution
business and insurance solutions activities, where its teams cover all asset
classes. This has allowed BNP Paribas to be nimble and quickly adapt to
changing market conditions, and identify investment opportunities. It has also
relied on its global pricing and trading platform – Smart Derivatives – to
automatically serve clients as it manages more than 2,500 QIS strategies.
For example, in the current
situation amid rich equity valuations and trade tensions between the US and
China, a fully integrated platform combining all asset classes was vital to
compensating for weakening products, such as the drying flows into equity
auto-callable products. It was also useful as insurance companies progressively
switched from market-linked solutions such as variable annuities to fixed
income and foreign exchange products by insurance companies.
Life insurance in Japan is a
huge market with a large retirement gap. A lot of long-term savings is
clamouring for return due to low yields and a low volatility environment,”
says Okazawa. “The need for
market-linked products with some form of guarantee has been felt and we’ve
successfully offered QIS solutions for variable annuities to turn into a key
player in the sector.”
Variable annuities are
insurance policies issued by insurance companies, which are distributed to
retail investors as an alternative saving tool with a guarantee feature upon
the death of the policyholder.
The ongoing low interest rates
environment and regulatory changes have crimped volumes as insurance companies
reviewed their variable annuity portfolio and sought alternative
investment-yield sources.
The Japanese variable annuity
market has logged total sales of more than €200 billion ($220 billion) since
2002 and BNP Paribas has helped life insurance companies raise more than €10
billion from 2013 to 2018.
While
the low-yield environment pushed Japanese annuity industry to turn to foreign
assets to achieve targeted returns, the Japanese Financial Services Authority
(FSA) issued guidance in January, instructing insurance companies and banks to
spell out the currency risk embedded in foreign-denominated products and the
costs associated with hedging it.
That
has forced insurers to rethink investments in US or Australian dollars that
have traditionally been high-yield assets. BNP Paribas was among the first to respond
to the changing investment narrative.
“We’ve
continued to adapt to the fast-changing conditions in the insurance market,”
says Okazawa. “There are some concerns in the market on whether some networks
are sophisticated to sell US dollar underlying products to retail investors. We
looked at coming up with yen-denominated products and very recently launched a
unit-linked product based on QIS.”
It
is a delta one multi-asset yen-denominated product with no financial protection
and is suitable for the current market environment.
The
bank has also stepped up its presence in fixed annuity products as the market
shifted. Sensing the move to fixed annuity products, the bank also came up with
a hedging programme for innovative fixed annuity foreign currency products,
which has been well received by clients.
In
the past year, the bank has taken its QIS offerings beyond insurance to
investors such as asset managers, corporates and banks.
” We are stepping up our bespoke QIS solutions to meet customer needs. We have the capability to read the customer pulse and offer higher-return solutions or volatility solutions when the time is right. ”
“There
is a huge need beyond insurers and retail investors for good risk control
strategy in the current environment,” he says. “We’ve developed strategies
either in the form or of overlays or fund format.”
Banks,
especially the regional lenders in Japan have been key distributors of BNP
Paribas’ variable annuity products and hence are aware of the prowess of the
product, he says.
BNP
Paribas took the variable annuity products’ QIS part such as multi-asset
indexes to offer a solution for regional banks suffering in the low-yield
environment. Over the next year, 30 trillion yen ($282.4 billion) worth of
Japan government bonds (JGB) will be redeemed and the regional banks will have
to reinvest into a non-JGB asset class at a time when the US treasury yields
are low and hedging costs on US dollar are expensive. Investing in euro assets also
faces a similar predicament.
The
30-year US Treasury bond yield slipped below 2% for the first time ever and the
10-year Treasury note yield fell below 1.5%, to a three-year low in August as
investors scurried to safety. The historic drop in long-term US bond yields
came shortly after interest rates on the closely watched 10-year and two-year
Treasurys inverted for the first time since 2007. The inversion of this key
part of the yield curve in the last three instances has been followed by an
economic recession.
The
cost of hedging dollar-yen currency risk stands at about 250 basis points for
Japanese investors, negating the spread that US government bonds offer over
their Japanese peers. That has forced Japanese investors to reduce their
hedging activity.
“We could
easily tap the opportunity as we have a strong reputation in the market,” says
Okazawa. “We are stepping up our bespoke QIS solutions to meet customer needs.
We have the capability to read the customer pulse and offer higher-return
solutions or volatility solutions when the time is right or design solutions
with or without asset classes such as commodities for customers.”
“We are
cross-selling G10 currency rate sales, equity products to boost our QIS
solutions,” he says.
To help
clients efficiently access these investment solutions, the bank has developed a
fund-based solution that provides access to international exposure supported by
local-hour execution capabilities. Thanks to this new distribution channel, BNP
Paribas’ QIS assets under management in Japan exceeded 750 billion yen last
year and are growing at a double-digit rate. Assets are expected to hit 1
trillion yen in 2020.
The bank
believes it is just “scratching the surface” when it comes to QIS solutions for
banks in Japan. There are about 500 financial institutions in Japan and less
than a fifth are being served, says Okazawa.
It has
already had initial success. BNP Paribas leveraged its 50-people strong global
QIS solutions team to develop a new multi-asset long/short strategy specifically
for Japanese investors, to address their key concern around compressing
traditional risk premia.
This solution
was built to cope with sudden market reversals, by adjusting positions quickly
and repositioning on markets with clearer dynamics, such as forex.
“This capability allowed our clients to
weather the market turmoil of Q4 2018, when most financial institutional
investors’ long portfolios suffered and alternative investments performed
poorly,” says Okazawa.
From left: Frederic Cosmao, Head of Equity Derivatives Structuring, Global Markets, Japan; Kazuko Sawada, Insurance Solutions, Global Markets, Japan; and Tomoyuki Mori, Head of Distribution Sales and Cross-asset Solutions, Global Markets
Stocks were routed globally in the last
quarter, the broader commodity index slumped on concerns over demand and fears
of oversupply, while bond yields fell reflecting increased risk aversion and
volatility amid continued macro uncertainty. Buffeted by such markets
alternative investments logged their worst year since the global financial
crisis.
Another example of was the success in the
fixed income space, where BNP Paribas offers both single asset-class strategies
such as a rates factor strategy, as well as combined multi-factor strategies
and solutions.
“We once again developed a specific product
for Japanese investors, which aims to create a defensive and stable Japanese
yen return profile with short durations to cope with erratic rate moves,” says
Okazawa. “Such stable, income-based funds are valued by financial institutions
who are looking for low risk-weighted assets, low volatility and small
drawdowns. In contrast, alternative solutions like higher-yielding foreign
bonds present higher risks due to the low credit spread and expansive forex
hedging.”
The spread offered by BNP Paribas’ fixed
income diversifier over the benchmark global bond index peaked in the fourth
quarter of 2018 and has hovered near that levels so far this year.
Clients support the bank’s push and cite the
bank’s QIS strengths globally, its multi-asset capabilities and ability to
create bespoke solutions.
“BNP Paribas has advanced QIS strategies and
created an exclusive QIS index for us for both structured note and fund
distribution to clients,” says an executive at one of the largest Japanese
banks. “The QIS products are well designed with features such as daily
rebalancing multi-asset strategy, which can go long and also short and
outperforming existing multi-asset strategies. We also do business with other
investment banks but compared with those, BNP’s QIS strategy performance,
quality of service and operational robustness stands out.